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PITTSBURGH STEELERS player in helmet

PITTSBURGH STEELERS

OVERVIEW

The Steelers brought back Aaron Rodgers for what he's announced will be his final NFL season, while making a major change at head coach — Mike McCarthy replaces Mike Tomlin after his 19-year tenure. Pittsburgh also traded for receiver Michael Pittman to pair with DK Metcalf and added cornerback Jamel Dean in a huge free-agent deal. Last season, the Steelers won their division largely on the back of a strong defense, though their passing attack ranked poorly in efficiency, with Rodgers throwing an unusually high rate of short passes. This year, Rico Dowdle joins Jaylen Warren in a solid backfield, while Metcalf and Pittman give Rodgers reliable short-range targets. The defense remains stacked with TJ Watt, Cam Heyward, and now Dean anchoring the secondary.

Head Coach

MIKE MCCARTHY

Offensive Coordinator

BRIAN ANGELICHIO

Defensive Coordinator

PATRICK GRAHAM

OFF SEASON CHANGES

Pittsburgh spent the off-season publicly courting Aaron Rodgers to run it back for one more season, and they succeeded. He’s announced this will be his final year in the NFL. The big change is at head coach – with Mike McCarthy taking the reins after Mike Tomlin stepped down after 19 seasons with the team. McCarthy has over 290 wins in the NFL and coached the Packers (with Rodgers as QB) between 2006-2018 and the Cowboys between 2020-2024. The Steelers also traded for veteran receiver Michael Pittman and he’ll be a nice addition alongside DK Metcalf. Defensively, they added cornerback Jamel Dean in one of their largest free-agent contracts ever.

QUATERBACKS

Aaron Rodgers returns for his final NFL season on a one-year deal worth up to $25 million. The Steelers placed an unrestricted free-agent tender on him to keep the door closed to other teams. Rodgers still has a decent arm and recorded 3,322 passing yards last season to go with 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. The worrying stat for Rodgers and the Steelers is that 76% of his attempts travelled under 10 yards last season – the highest rate in the league. It’ll be interesting to see if Mike McCarthy trusts him to air it out more this season. He does have two really solid receivers in Metcalf and Pittman at his disposal. Rodgers wants to win one more Super Bowl but I really don’t see that happening this year. Mason Rudolph returns as the backup QB and whilst he’s been serviceable, he’s not going to set the world on fire if he gets starting reps.

RUNNING BACKS

The Steelers lost Kenneth Gainwell in free agency but replaced him with former Panthers’ and Cowboys’ RB Rico Dowdle. Dowdle has back to back seasons with 1000+ rushing yards and had a couple of massive games last year with 206 yards and 183 yards in back to back weeks. His efficiency dipped later in the season but he’s probably an upgrade on Gainwell. Dowdle will be fighting for the starting RB position with Jaylen Warren. Warren had a very solid 2025 campaign, putting up 958 rushing yards and 333 receiving yards. He was Rodgers’ favorite dump-off option last year with 2+ targets in all but two games. This should be a solid backfield and I expect the Steelers to lean on the run a lot this season with Rodgers being more of a game manager. They might run with the hot hand at times and see who is performing better week to week.

RECEIVERS

Pittsburgh made a receiver trade for the second straight year, bringing in Michael Pittman from the Colts on a three year, $59 million deal after doing similar for DK Metcalf in 2025. Pittman looks like a good fit for where this passing game lives – short options. He averaged just 8.1 air yards per target in his best season, which lines up nicely with Rodgers’ increasingly short-range approach in the later stages of his career. DK Metcalf should still be WR1 and is the deeper threat to pair with Pittman’s skill set underneath. Roman Wilson rounds out the receiving group and the Steelers also have two solid tight ends in Pat Freiermuth and Darnell Washington. The concern here isn’t the talent, it’s improving on a passing game that was 21st in success rate and 16th in EPA per play last season. The QB situation is the same, so we’ll see if Mike McCarthy and Rodgers can improve on last year’s numbers.

DEFENCE

The defense remains the backbone of this team despite Mike Tomlin’s departure. Cornerback Jamel Dean will be a nice addition to the secondary, which already added Jalen Ramsey via trade last season. Dean arrives on the second-largest free agent contract in franchise history. The defense is now looking stacked, with Alex Highsmith leading the pass rush, alongside Cam Heyward, TJ Watt and Patrick Queen. This defense was what won the Steelers their division last season and they’ve arguably improved. They’ll be the key once again to masking some of their offensive limitations.

PREDICTIONS

8-9

I think it’ll be a year of slight regression for the Steelers. They have a decent roster and their defense is always scary, but Mike Tomlin is gone and it’s a period of change. I don’t think Aaron Rodgers has the ability to win them games with his own arm anymore.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS star player in uniform

FAVORITE FUTURE

AARON RODGERS UNDER 20.5 PASSING TDS

I’m really not liking Rodgers output for this season. He had such a low average depth of pass last year and while they now have Michael Pittman, I’m not sure how much he can improve at this age. There is always an injury risk for him too, he doesn’t move well and could get hit a lot this season.

Fanduel Lines

Win Total
7.5
Make Playoffs
+166
Miss Playoffs
-200
Win Superbowl
+6500
Win Conference
+2700
Win Division
+550

SCHEDULE

ATL

WK 1 Home

Easy

CIN

WK 10 Away

Moderate

NE

WK 2 Away

Moderate

PHI

WK 11 Away

Difficult

CIN

WK 3 Home

Moderate

DEN

WK 12 Home

Moderate

CLE

WK 4 Away

Easy

HOU

WK 13 Home

Moderate

IND

WK 5 Home

Easy

JAX

WK 14 Away

Moderate

TB

WK 6 Away

Easy

BAL

WK 15 Home

Difficult

NO

WK 7 Away

Easy

CAR

WK 16 Home

Easy

CLE

WK 8 Home

Easy

TEN

WK 17 Away

Easy

NO GAME

WK 9

BAL

WK 18 Away

Difficult

ATL

WK 1 Home

Easy

NO

WK 7 Away

Easy

HOU

WK 13 Home

Moderate

NE

WK 2 Away

Moderate

CLE

WK 8 Home

Easy

JAX

WK 14 Away

Moderate

CIN

WK 3 Home

Moderate

NO GAME

WK 9

BAL

WK 15 Home

Difficult

CLE

WK 4 Away

Easy

CIN

WK 10 Away

Moderate

CAR

WK 16 Home

Easy

IND

WK 5 Home

Easy

PHI

WK 11 Away

Difficult

TEN

WK 17 Away

Easy

TB

WK 6 Away

Easy

DEN

WK 12 Home

Moderate

BAL

WK 18 Away

Difficult

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