Cody Brown’s

NFL BETTING GUIDE

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DETROIT LIONS player in helmet

DETROIT LIONS

OVERVIEW

The Lions are expected to bounce back after a difficult 2025 season where they missed the playoffs and dealt with a bad run of injuries. They have already been dealing with a few defensive injuries through pre-season but their offense is looking good, with tight end Sam LaPorta finally back to full fitness. RB Jahmyr Gibbs is one of the best players in the league and just signed an extension to make him the highest paid RB in history. Jared Goff has been a consistent performer for years and is still in his prime at 31 years old. The Lions have one of the easiest schedules in the league and should be a real force, I expect them to challenge for the NFC North title at least.

Head Coach

DAN CAMPBELL

Offensive Coordinator

DREW PETZING

Defensive Coordinator

KELVIN SHEPPARD

OFF SEASON CHANGES

Detroit missed the playoffs after losing both coordinators, Ben Johnson (to Chicago as head coach) and Aaron Glenn (to the Jets as head coach), and the offense noticeably slipped without Johnson calling plays, even though it still finished fourth in points and fifth in yards. The front office responded with a full offensive line overhaul after center Frank Ragnow's abrupt retirement, parting ways with longtime left tackle Taylor Decker, and hiring Drew Petzing as the new offensive coordinator while promoting Kelvin Sheppard into his second year running the defense. They also lost RB David Montgomery and replaced him with former Chief Isiah Pacheco.

QUATERBACKS

Jared Goff finished second in the NFL in passing yards (4,564) and touchdowns (34), third in passer rating (105.5), and earned his fifth Pro Bowl nod despite the coordinator turnover — a testament to how much talent still surrounds him. He’s been a very good quarterback for years now and has three straight seasons with 30+ passing touchdowns. His passing TDs line for this season is set at 29.5, a number he should go over again if he’s healthy all season. His passing yards line is set at 4050.5, also a number he has cleared in four straight seasons. Backing up Goff is veteran Teddy Bridgewater but he won’t be called upon unless Goff gets injured or sits out in games that are finished.

RUNNING BACKS

We could be about to see a historic season for Jahmyr Gibbs. He has just signed the most expensive contract in running back history worth over $25 million per season. Now that David Montgomery is gone, this is Gibbs’ backfield to dominate. In six career games without Monty, Gibbs averages 111 rushing yards and 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game. For all of us fantasy players, he averages 27.4 PPR points in games without Monty. I know Isiah Pacheco has been signed as backup, but he’s not the same player as David Montgomery. Pacheco left the Chiefs after four seasons there – he had 830+ rushing yards in his first two seasons but then followed it with just 310 and 462 rushing yards the last two years. He dealt with injuries and doesn’t look like the player he once was. With all that in mind, we can expect a massive season for Gibbs as the leader of the backfield.

RECEIVERS

Amon-Ra St Brown is one of the safest floor receivers in the league, with three consecutive seasons of 115+ receptions and 1250+ yards. He’s also a beast in the end zone with 10+ receiving touchdowns in three straight campaigns. I don’t see that changing this year and you can get him at decent odds for 10+ touchdowns once again. Amon-Ra rarely misses games and he’s an incredibly reliable option for Jared Goff. Expect similar numbers once again in 2026. I like him to have 10+ receiving touchdowns at +100. Jameson Williams is a nice complement to Amon-Ra, he also had over 1000 yards last season to make it back to back 1000+ seasons. Williams loves to get behind defenses and is always a threat with the deep ball. Isaac TeSlaa showed some promising signs as a rookie and they will hope he improves again this season.

DEFENCE

Aidan Hutchinson led the league in pressures despite battling injuries around him, and this defense ranked 32nd in defensive player health last season — an almost unfathomable amount of bad luck. Brian Branch's Achilles tear and Kerby Joseph's knee injury both linger into 2026. Free-agent additions Chuck Clark and Christian Izien project to fill in, but better health alone could be the single biggest defensive upgrade available to Detroit this season.

PREDICTIONS

11-6

The Lions have one of the easier schedules in the NFL, despite having a tough division. Their offense is extremely powerful and Jahmyr Gibbs could produce a massive season. If their defense holds up, they should return to the playoffs.

DETROIT LIONS star player in uniform

FAVORITE FUTURE

AMON-RA 10+ RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS (-110)

The Sun God has three straight seasons with 10+ receiving touchdowns and I don’t see that changing. The Lions have an easy schedule and are expected to be one of the highest scoring offenses in the NFL. Amon-Ra gets great separation and is one of the league leaders in red zone targets.

Fanduel Lines

Win Total
10.5
Make Playoffs
-210
Miss Playoffs
+176
Win Superbowl
+1800
Win Conference
+900
Win Division
+150

SCHEDULE

NO

WK 1 Home

Moderate

NE

WK 10 Home

Difficult

BUF

WK 2 Away

Difficult

TB

WK 11 Home

Moderate

NYJ

WK 3 Home

Easy

CHI

WK 12 Home

Moderate

CAR

WK 4 Away

Easy

ATL

WK 13 Away

Easy

ARI

WK 5 Away

Easy

TEN

WK 14 Home

Easy

NO GAME

WK 6

MIN

WK 15 Away

Moderate

GB

WK 7 Home

Difficult

NYG

WK 16 Home

Easy

MIN

WK 8 Home

Moderate

CHI

WK 17 Away

Moderate

MIA

WK 9 Away

Easy

GB

WK 18 Away

Difficult

NO

WK 1 Home

Moderate

GB

WK 7 Home

Difficult

ATL

WK 13 Away

Easy

BUF

WK 2 Away

Difficult

MIN

WK 8 Home

Moderate

TEN

WK 14 Home

Easy

NYJ

WK 3 Home

Easy

MIA

WK 9 Away

Easy

MIN

WK 15 Away

Moderate

CAR

WK 4 Away

Easy

NE

WK 10 Home

Difficult

NYG

WK 16 Home

Easy

ARI

WK 5 Away

Easy

TB

WK 11 Home

Moderate

CHI

WK 17 Away

Moderate

NO GAME

WK 6

CHI

WK 12 Home

Moderate

GB

WK 18 Away

Difficult

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