Head Coach
SHANE STEICHEN
NFL BETTING GUIDE
I’ll try not to let my bias show here but I’m relatively optimistic about the Colts this season. They were 8-2 and a legitimate Super Bowl contender through Week 10 before Daniel Jones tore his achilles and Jonathan Taylor’s MVP-caliber season lost its supporting cast. They finished on a seven-game losing streak which was tough to swallow. Indianapolis responded by betting big on Jones' recovery with a two-year, $88 million deal and locking up Taylor with a two-year, $44 million extension. They also re-signed Alec Pierce to a surprising four-year, $114 million deal after losing Michael Pittman to cap issues, while prioritizing defense in the draft to get younger and faster around Sauce Gardner, now healthy again. The biggest worry for me here is the strength of the AFC South. The Texans and Jags are both looking good, plus the Titans should improve.
Head Coach
SHANE STEICHEN
Offensive Coordinator
JIM BOB COOTER
Defensive Coordinator
LOU ANARUMO
Sauce Gardner is healthy again after battling with a calf injury after his mid-season trade from the Jets. They’ve put their faith in Daniel Jones despite him recovering from a torn achilles, signing him to a two-year, $88 million deal. It’s obviously a risk and quite a lot of money, but it’s hard to blame them with the way he was performing last season prior to the injury. Michael Pittman was squeezed out due to cap issues, but they did re-sign Alec Pierce to a four-year, $114 million deal. That amount of money was a shock. The Colts traded linebacker Zaire Franklin away and replaced him with CJ Allen, taken at pick 53 in the draft. That was the Colts’ first pick in the draft and they took a defensive player with five of their first six picks. Jonathan Taylor was also signed to a two-year, $44 million extension.
Daniel Jones returns on a two-year, $88 million deal and he’s recovered from the achilles tear he suffered in Week 14. He’s been a full participant in camp and will start Week 1 barring anything going wrong between now and then. Jones was one of the stories of the season last year, leading the Colts to an 8-2 record after 10 games. Before the injury, he ranked third in the NFL in yards per attempt (8.1), fourth in completion percentage (68%) and sixth in passer rating (100.2). It was his best season in the NFL and if Jones can recapture that form this season (big if) then the Colts should be really good again. They had a league-leading 3.17 points per drive through Week 10, so he had this offense humming. Anthony Richardson hasn’t taken his opportunities and remains backup behind Jones this season.
Jonathan Taylor led the NFL with 18 rushing touchdowns last season and was a genuine MVP chance until the Colts’ season fell apart in the last seven weeks. He also had the most rush attempts in the NFL with 323 and finished third in total rushing yards (1585). JT and Jones had the offense clicking and extremely efficient, as seen by the 3.17 points per drive through Week 10. JT is still in his prime at 27 years old and FanDuel has him with the highest rushing line total set for the season at 1225.5 (alongside Derrick Henry). He’ll be a beast once again behind this powerful offensive line and with a healthy Daniel Jones back under center. He also signed to a two-year, $44 million extension recently which makes him one of the highest paid backs in the league.
The Colts traded away longtime number 1 receiver Michael Pittman to the Steelers, leaving a hole of 111 targets. Alec Pierce will likely be the top wide receiver after signing a four-year, $114 million deal. Pierce had his first 1000+ yard season in 2025, flashing big play ability too with multiple 50+ yard receptions. He added 6 touchdowns too. I’m still not fully convinced he is THE guy, but he’s a nice piece of the offense. Unfortunately he’s still not been involved in training camp and I’m getting worried he might miss the start of the season. Josh Downs is a guy who has shown serious potential but he had a surprising regression last year in his third season. With Pittman now gone, Downs should have more opportunity to establish himself in the passing game. The player I’m most bullish on here though is second-year tight end Tyler Warren. He had 817 yards and 5 total TDs in his rookie season and just looked really good. Somehow his line is only 750.5 yards for this year…
GM Chris Ballard and defensive coordinator Chris Ballard prioritized getting younger and faster in the off-season. Five of 11 defensive starters could be new in 2026. Laiatu Latu anchors the pass rush after generating 25.7% of the team’s total pressures as a sophomore. Sauce Gardner is fully healthy and gives the secondary an elite shutdown piece. He didn’t allow more than two receptions to a single receiver in a game last season.
9-8
I wanted to give them a few more wins but this is a tough division with the Jags and Texans looking dangerous. I still think it will be a winning season, but there is just a lot of unknown with Daniel Jones returning from his torn achilles and the receiver room looking pretty thin with Alec Pierce still not cleared.
This line is crazy to me. Warren had 817 yards in his rookie season and Daniel Jones is coming off a torn achilles, which likely means he looks for his safety blankets more regularly. That’s where Warren comes in. With Alec Pierce also injured and Michael Pittman gone, he should be the man.
BAL
WK 1 Home
MIA
WK 10 Home
KC
WK 2 Away
HOU
WK 11 Away
HOU
WK 3 Home
NYG
WK 12 Home
WAS
WK 4 Away
NO GAME
WK 13
PIT
WK 5 Away
PHI
WK 14 Away
TEN
WK 6 Home
TEN
WK 15 Away
MIN
WK 7 Away
CIN
WK 16 Home
JAX
WK 8 Away
CLE
WK 17 Away
DAL
WK 9 Home
JAX
WK 18 Home
BAL
WK 1 Home
MIN
WK 7 Away
NO GAME
WK 13
KC
WK 2 Away
JAX
WK 8 Away
PHI
WK 14 Away
HOU
WK 3 Home
DAL
WK 9 Home
TEN
WK 15 Away
WAS
WK 4 Away
MIA
WK 10 Home
CIN
WK 16 Home
PIT
WK 5 Away
HOU
WK 11 Away
CLE
WK 17 Away
TEN
WK 6 Home
NYG
WK 12 Home
JAX
WK 18 Home