Head Coach
SEAN PAYTON
NFL BETTING GUIDE
Denver won the AFC West for the first time since 2015, going 14-3 and earning the conference's No. 1 seed before Bo Nix broke his ankle in a playoff win over Buffalo, costing the Broncos a shot at the Super Bowl with a diminished offense in the AFC Championship loss to New England. Denver's biggest offseason move was trading for receiver Jaylen Waddle from Miami, finally giving Bo Nix the true WR1 this offense has lacked. Nix has the most wins by any quarterback through two seasons, throwing for nearly 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns while adding rushing production, and he'll pair with a healthy JK Dobbins and RJ Harvey in the backfield. Waddle should unlock an offense that's underperformed its talent, joining Courtland Sutton and Troy Franklin to form Denver's most dangerous receiving corps in years. The defense remains the class of the AFC, led by Pat Surtain II and Nik Bonitto's 14 sacks, after finishing third in scoring defense.
Head Coach
SEAN PAYTON
Offensive Coordinator
DAVIS WEBB
Defensive Coordinator
VANCE JOSEPH
The front office's biggest off-season swing was trading multiple picks, including their 2026 first-rounder, to Miami for receiver Jaylen Waddle - the No. 1 target this offense has lacked under Sean Payton. Defensive coordinator Vance Joseph and QB coach Davis Webb, promoted to offensive coordinator, both stayed despite head-coaching interest elsewhere. The Broncos have mostly run it back with their core from last season other than the Waddle inclusion. It’s not hard to see why as they were just one win away from a Super Bowl and Bo Nix missed that AFC Championship game.
Bo Nix owns the most wins by any quarterback in his first two NFL seasons (24), and the belief internally is that Denver would have reached the Super Bowl had he not broken his ankle in the divisional round. Nix finished with 3931 passing yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions but also added 356 rushing yards and 5 rushing touchdowns. Honestly, I still haven’t been fully convinced on Nix, but I might have to change my opinion now. He wins games and has learned to manage game situations really well. If he can improve again this year and the Broncos challenge again, he will likely be in contention for MVP. He’s currently the 18th favorite at +3500 which seems a little crazy to me… Especially seeing as I have the Broncos winning this division. Value play for you there.
The Broncos have a nice rushing attack when healthy. JK Dobbins showed he’s still got plenty of juice, recording 772 yards in just 10 games. That’s an average of over 77 yards per game which had him ranked as a top-5 running back in the NFL before his injury. Dobbins is healthy now and will likely split reps with second-year RB RJ Harvey. Harvey showed some really good signs last year but also hadn’t fully gained the trust of coach Sean Payton. He finished the season with 540 yards but the 3.7 yards per carry was very underwhelming, especially compared to Dobbins’ 5 yards per carry. Harvey did have some massive plays through the air and recorded 356 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. They’ll form a nice one-two punch this season.
Jaylen Waddle immediately becomes Nix's best-ever weapon and a potential game changer for this offense. Waddle has averaged over 1000 yards per season in his five NFL seasons and Nix will be an upgrade to any QB he’s played with. His receiving line for the season is just 925.5 yards which I think is low. Waddle's ability to win after the catch on quick, high-percentage throws fits Nix's game perfectly and should finally unlock an offense that's underperformed its talent level for two straight seasons. It’s a nice pairing with steady veteran Courtland Sutton to give Denver its most dangerous receiver duo in years. We can’t forget about Troy Franklin either who recorded 709 yards last year, as well as tight end Evan Engram who is one of the most athletic players in the NFL.
Denver's defense led the NFL with 68 sacks and ranked third in scoring defense (18.3 points per game) in 2025. It’s hard to argue that they aren’t the best defense in the AFC. They’ve got superstars across the field with Pat Surtain II — the 2024 Defensive Player of the Year — anchoring a secondary that also features breakout safety Talanoa Hufanga. Nik Bonitto's 14 sacks and Zach Allen's interior push give this unit legitimate difference-makers at every level.
12-5
The Broncos went an amazing 14-3 last season but it feels like they were never really rated as a true Super Bowl threat. Bo Nix is back healthy and he could go to another level in his third season. I have them winning the AFC West again and it’s not bad odds at +210.
Waddle has averaged over 1000 receiving yards in his five NFL seasons and now enters arguably the best situation of his career. He will be WR1 on the Broncos and there is no Tyreek Hill to worry about. Bo Nix is also an upgrade on Tua so there is no reason to think Waddle will have worse stats than his career averages.
KC
WK 1 Away
NO GAME
WK 10
JAX
WK 2 Home
LV
WK 11 Home
LAR
WK 3 Home
PIT
WK 12 Away
SF
WK 4 Away
MIA
WK 13 Home
LAC
WK 5 Away
NYJ
WK 14 Away
SEA
WK 6 Home
LV
WK 15 Away
ARI
WK 7 Away
BUF
WK 16 Home
KC
WK 8 Home
NE
WK 17 Away
CAR
WK 9 Away
LAC
WK 18 Home
KC
WK 1 Away
ARI
WK 7 Away
MIA
WK 13 Home
JAX
WK 2 Home
KC
WK 8 Home
NYJ
WK 14 Away
LAR
WK 3 Home
CAR
WK 9 Away
LV
WK 15 Away
SF
WK 4 Away
NO GAME
WK 10
BUF
WK 16 Home
LAC
WK 5 Away
LV
WK 11 Home
NE
WK 17 Away
SEA
WK 6 Home
PIT
WK 12 Away
LAC
WK 18 Home