Head Coach
ANDY REID
NFL BETTING GUIDE
Kansas City missed the playoffs for the first time since 2014, finishing 6-11 as Patrick Mahomes suffered a torn ACL and LCL in Week 15 against the Chargers. The Chiefs believe their Championship window with Patrick Mahomes remains open so they made moves to fix their biggest weaknesses, signing Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III to finally give them a real ground game, and trading for Justin Fields as insurance while extending Mahomes through 2033. Last season was Mahomes' worst as a pro statistically, and he's said he wants to run less and pass more this year after a heavy workload took its toll. Walker steps into a clear RB1 role after Isiah Pacheco's departure, while Rashee Rice returns as WR1 despite injury and discipline concerns, with an aging Travis Kelce and speedy Xavier Worthy rounding out a thin receiving corps. Defensively, Chris Jones anchors the front despite losing two starting cornerbacks.
Head Coach
ANDY REID
Offensive Coordinator
ERIC BIENIEMY
Defensive Coordinator
STEVE SPAGNUOLO
Despite missing the playoffs the front office knows they’re still in a Championship window with Patrick Mahomes around. They did have a major secondary overhaul after losing Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watson to the Rams. The big signing was getting Kenneth Walker III, fresh off winning Super Bowl MVP with Seattle, to fix a struggling ground game. He could have a massive season especially with the Chiefs wanting to protect Mahomes from running the ball. They also traded for Justin Fields as insurance behind Mahomes, and extended Mahomes' own contract through 2033 in a $504.75 million deal.
2025 was Patrick Mahomes’ worst season as a pro. He finished with lows in passing yards (3587), completion percentage (62.7%), touchdowns (22) and touchdown rate (4.4%). Obviously these numbers aren’t terrible, but it was a tough season for Mahomes prior to his injury. The reports from training camp are that he’s going to be fully ready for Week 1, but he’s going to look after himself more this season. Mahomes said he ran the ball too much in 2025 and we can expect him to pass or hand the ball off much more in 2026. Another consideration is that Justin Fields is now in KC to back up Mahomes. He won’t be used to pass much, but I can bet you that Andy Reid will get him involved in the offense. Fields is too good of an athlete to not try and get it to work.
Kenneth Walker III arrives after a Super Bowl MVP performance in Seattle to give Kansas City a real ground-game identity after ranking 25th in rushing yards a season ago. He’ll be a bell-cow RB1, especially with Isiah Pacheco moving on to the Lions. I can’t believe Walker is +110 for 1000+ rushing yards. Everything points to the Chiefs running the ball more and he is really their only established option. The Chiefs took Emmett Johnson in the draft with pick 161 but we don’t know what to expect from him yet. Emari Demercado also arrives from the Cardinals and could be a decent backup but this is Walker’s backfield to run. As mentioned, I expect the Chiefs to work up some plays for Justin Fields from the backfield which is a dangerous though for opposition defenses.
Once again it’s a receiver room that is one injury away from being really weak. Rashee Rice is obviously a great player, but he has both injury and discipline issues to his name. When he’s at his best and healthy, he’s a clear number 1 option. Rice had 571 yards and 5 TDs in just eight games last season. There have been mixed reports from camp about Rice, but he will definitely be WR1. Xavier Worthy is also a big talent but he doesn’t have the physicality to be a top receiver. He’s extremely quick but Mahomes just hasn’t had enough time to get the ball downfield in the past few seasons. He’s also struggled to stay healthy for a full season. Behind Rice and Worthy it starts to look really thin, with Tyquan Thornton the next man up. Travis Kelce returns for what could be his final year but he’s no longer the unstoppable force of his prime. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Noah Gray surpass him in receiving yards this season. Rookie WR Cyrus Allen has had some buzz about him from camp too.
Kansas City ranked just 22nd in sacks (35) and lost two starting cornerbacks this offseason, but Chris Jones remains a dominant force up front and Steve Spagnuolo's scheme has produced top-10 defenses as recently as 2023-24. L'Jarius Sneed returns for a second stint to help stabilize a secondary that took real hits in free agency.
10-7
I have the Chiefs returning to a winning record after a horror 6-11 2025 season. Mahomes is back and they have got a really solid RB1 in Kenneth Walker to lean the run game on. Its not an easy division but I think this team is too talented to not have a winning record this season. The receiver room is a slight worry though.
Walker is going to get absolutely fed in Kansas City this year. All the word coming out of camp is that Mahomes will try not to run the ball himself and lean on Walker a lot. Walker had 1027 rushing yards last year at 4.6 yards per carry and is now the bell cow for the Chiefs. If he stays healthy, he’s cashing this.
DEN
WK 1 Home
ATL
WK 10 Away
IND
WK 2 Home
ARI
WK 11 Home
MIA
WK 3 Away
BUF
WK 12 Away
LV
WK 4 Away
LAR
WK 13 Away
NO GAME
WK 5
CIN
WK 14 Away
LAC
WK 6 Home
NE
WK 15 Home
SEA
WK 7 Away
SF
WK 16 Home
DEN
WK 8 Away
LAC
WK 17 Away
NYJ
WK 9 Home
LV
WK 18 Home
DEN
WK 1 Home
SEA
WK 7 Away
LAR
WK 13 Away
IND
WK 2 Home
DEN
WK 8 Away
CIN
WK 14 Away
MIA
WK 3 Away
NYJ
WK 9 Home
NE
WK 15 Home
LV
WK 4 Away
ATL
WK 10 Away
SF
WK 16 Home
NO GAME
WK 5
ARI
WK 11 Home
LAC
WK 17 Away
LAC
WK 6 Home
BUF
WK 12 Away
LV
WK 18 Home