Head Coach
TODD BOWLES
NFL BETTING GUIDE
Tampa Bay started 6-2 with Baker Mayfield playing like an MVP candidate before a wave of injuries derailed a promising season. This offseason brought painful departures, with 12-year franchise legend Mike Evans leaving for San Francisco and Lavonte David retiring, while Vita Vea requested a trade. Mayfield enters a contract year hoping for a long-term extension, and if he stays healthy, he should again clear his passing yardage total after covering it in all three seasons in Tampa. Bucky Irving looks to bounce back after an injury-hit sophomore campaign, while Emeka Egbuka steps into the WR1 role after a strong rookie year, though replacing Evans' red-zone production is a real question. Defensively, Tampa Bay was historically bad in red-zone situations last year, and losing David's leadership only adds to the concern despite rookie edge rusher Rueben Bain's promise.
Head Coach
TODD BOWLES
Offensive Coordinator
ZAC ROBINSON
Defensive Coordinator
TODD BOWLES
The off-season brought some painful departures: 12-year franchise legend Mike Evans left in free agency for San Francisco, and longtime linebacker Lavonte David announced his retirement. Bucs legend Vita Vea also requested a trade, topping off a really difficult off-season for the team. They’ve still got some top end talent but a lot rests on the shoulders of Baker Mayfield once again. Edge rusher Rueben Bain was drafted 15th overall and should be a really good piece, he was originally predicted to go in the top 3 picks.
Baker Mayfield was an early MVP frontrunner before injuries limited him late in 2025, and he enters the final year of his contract with the front office hoping to sign him long-term. Baker was seriously banged up last year and tried to put the team on his shoulders multiple times. He’s very popular with the fanbase and he’s proven himself to be worthy of a big contract. His passing yards line for this season is set at 3500.5 - a mark he has covered in all three seasons with the Bucs despite some injuries. Although Mike Evans has left, he was injured a lot of last season too. I think Baker goes over this line again.
Bucky Irving is coming off an injury-interrupted 2025 season after bursting on to the scene as a rookie in 2024. He clearly wasn’t right last season and his numbers showed, going from 5.4 yards per carry as a rookie to 3.4 yards per carry last year. Rachaad White has departed to the Commanders and the Bucs signed Kenneth Gainwell as a replacement. They’ve also got Sean Tucker on the roster which gives them some solid depth. With Bucky back healthy though, he should be the workhorse back and should bounce back with some good numbers. Baker Mayfield needs to look after his body more and that should mean more handoffs to the backfield. Irving’s rushing line for the season is just 800.5 yards which is tempting...
Emeka Egbuka steps into a lead role after a promising, if inconsistent, rookie year and the departure of Mike Evans, who signed with San Francisco to end his 12-year run in Tampa. Chris Godwin Jr. and Jalen McMillan give Mayfield real depth even without Evans, but replacing his red-zone production, a career average of nine touchdowns per season, is a real question this passing game has to answer without him. Tampa Bay was 23rd in offensive red-zone touchdown rate last season even with Evans contributing in a limited capacity, and that number could get worse before this young receiver room fully develops into a unit capable of replacing his decade-plus of red-zone production on its own this season.
Lavonte David's retirement leaves a massive leadership void that Alex Anzalone and second-round rookie Josiah Trotter are tasked with filling immediately. Vita Vea remains a dominant force up front, and first-round edge rusher Rueben Bain Jr. should provide an immediate pass-rush boost. Tampa Bay was a stunning 32nd in defensive red-zone touchdown rate allowed (69.8%) last season, the single biggest structural weakness this unit must fix.
7-10
There is a lot of change at the Bucs and I’m worried about their defense this season. They could leak some big scores and while their offense is solid, they’re probably only a couple of injuries away from struggling. Mike Evans is a big loss although I expect Emeka Egbuka to have a big year. Anyone in this division could win it really.
Egbuka covered this line in his rookie season with 938 receiving yards despite only being a big part of the offense for about half the season. He should now move into the WR1 role with Mike Evans gone and Chris Godwin continuing to get older. I think Baker Mayfield will be slinging the ball this year as he looks to get a big contract extension. Egbuka should be his number 1 target.
CIN
WK 1 Away
NO GAME
WK 10
CLE
WK 2 Home
DET
WK 11 Away
MIN
WK 3 Home
CAR
WK 12 Home
GB
WK 4 Home
LAC
WK 13 Home
DAL
WK 5 Away
BAL
WK 14 Away
PIT
WK 6 Home
NO
WK 15 Home
CAR
WK 7 Away
ATL
WK 16 Away
ATL
WK 8 Home
LAR
WK 17 Home
CHI
WK 9 Away
NO
WK 18 Away
CIN
WK 1 Away
CAR
WK 7 Away
LAC
WK 13 Home
CLE
WK 2 Home
ATL
WK 8 Home
BAL
WK 14 Away
MIN
WK 3 Home
CHI
WK 9 Away
NO
WK 15 Home
GB
WK 4 Home
NO GAME
WK 10
ATL
WK 16 Away
DAL
WK 5 Away
DET
WK 11 Away
LAR
WK 17 Home
PIT
WK 6 Home
CAR
WK 12 Home
NO
WK 18 Away